Through the first four days of Kentucky Derby week we’re 14 wins from 40 races (35%) and a flat bet profit (loss) of -8%. That’s not bad, but we can do better.
The only actionable observation I’ve made this week is that inside seems to be good on the main track, but with the weather expected Friday it’s hard to put stock into that as the complexion of things will change not only Friday but also on Saturday after the track has dried out.
All we can do is pick horses ready to run and demand a good price for the uncertainty.
Looking to the outside right off the rip and hoping #13 Montauck Point draws in. Violence colt cut back to a one-turn mile last out and ran well chasing behind a slow pace but closing strong. #7 Warrior Johny would get one turn for the first time here.
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