Active, above-normal hurricane season predicted by forecasters

Department, Colorado State University and Phil Klotzbach and his team have put out their 2021 hurricane season forecasts. 17 named storms is what they're calling for. Eight hurricanes, four major hurricanes, that is, by every definition and above average season. The 30 year blocks of average is that we use have just been updated. And the new update includes 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes, as the average were obviously forecasting well above that average with 17 named storms. A couple of takeaways after kind of reading. His paper on this that I find interesting is that he's forecasting roughly 20 more hurricane days this year versus a normal season, meaning that out of the entire six month span there would be about 20 additional days that we would be tracking a name system out in the Atlantic. Now when we localize this and come to Florida, the forecast from Colorado State University says that there is a 96% chance that there would be a name storm within 50 miles of the Florida coastline this year, a 75% chance that there would be a hurricane around our coastline this year within 50 miles and a 41% chance of a Category three storm being within 50 miles of our coastline. What I think is interesting is that comparing those numbers to last year's numbers, we're looking at a 7 to 10% increase in our threat here in Central Florida. Averages. You can see there on the left column 86% chance of a named storm being in the Florida vicinity. 58% chance for hurricane, 28% chance for a Category three. I mean, those numbers are significantly higher. The patterns are just looking to favor not only a more active season as a whole, but a more active, potentially local impact season last year. Of course, we know very well that the state of Florida relatively unscathed from any tropical development and impacts. But we're not that far off 54 days until the start of the hurricane season. So, yes, just to wrap up once again, Colorado State University Phil Klotzbach and Team have put out their updated forecast. They're calling for 17 named storms eight hurricanes, four of which our major hurricanes now you can dive in depth more on this by heading over to west dot com. And while you're on west dot com related to this is our hurricane forecast that we put out. I spent hours and hours and hours on ours, and it's on the West forecast, and it's not in competition with Colorado State. We kind of do two different things. I'm looking at coastline area that has a higher threat and also timelines on when those threats could play out. So check it out west dot com forward slash hurricanes for that other part of the puzzle. But with only mere weeks until hurricane season, I just want to encourage you and your family to do what you need to do to be prepared. Start purchasing uh, items as you go to the grocery store just a little here, a little there. You know, I know every single year when Florida has some sort of a threat, there's always at least one person that says I can't afford to get hurricane supplies. What do I do? And they come at it from a place of sheer desperation. We don't want that to be you, so every time you go to the grocery store to the public, the Walmart, Walgreens and CVS. The all the the Bravo, whatever it is, by a little extra, something nonperishable. You know, it could be canned food. Make sure have a manual can opener. It could be a flat of spring water or filtered water. Or just as you're using milk for the family, start rinsing out the milk jugs so that you can say that the idea is you want to be able to be self sustained for about a week if a hurricane knocks out power and water to your community. Uh, certainly we don't want this. But with today and the drop of Colorado State University's hurricane forecast, it's a good opportunity to just keep that in the back of your head. Okay, so remember that I will have much more on coffee talk tomorrow morning with this. Of course, the entire West to Coverage team will have much more on this Kellyanne class at noon. Cam and Tony in the in the evening and then, of course, beyond that will be ramping up to hurricane season with our hurricane special in just mere weeks as well. That's it. I'm meteorologist Eric Burress. Have a great, great great day

NOAA reveals its prediction for 2021 hurricane season

Updated: 1:38 PM EDT May 20, 2021

Video above: Colorado State unveils its hurricane season forecastThe National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center is predicting an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season. NOAA's prediction sees a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season and only a 10% chance of hurricane season being below normal. Despite the forecast for an above-average season, experts with NOAA said they do not expect it to see storm activity like 2020. Forecasters believe there will be between 13 to 20 named storms, between six to 10 of those could be hurricanes, including three to five major hurricanes. The predictions are made with 70% confidence, according to NOAA. The Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1 and lasts until Nov. 30. "With hurricane season starting on June 1, now is the time to get ready and advance disaster resilience in our communities," said FEMA administrator Deanne Criswell. “Visit Ready.gov and Listo.gov to learn and take the steps to prepare yourself and others in your household. Download the FEMA app to sign-up for a variety of alerts and to access preparedness information. Purchase flood insurance to protect your greatest asset, your home. And, please encourage your neighbors, friends and coworkers to also get ready for the upcoming season.”

Video above: Colorado State unveils its hurricane season forecast

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center is predicting an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season.

NOAA's prediction sees a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season and only a 10% chance of hurricane season being below normal.

Despite the forecast for an above-average season, experts with NOAA said they do not expect it to see storm activity like 2020.

Forecasters believe there will be between 13 to 20 named storms, between six to 10 of those could be hurricanes, including three to five major hurricanes.

The predictions are made with 70% confidence, according to NOAA. The Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1 and lasts until Nov. 30.

"With hurricane season starting on June 1, now is the time to get ready and advance disaster resilience in our communities," said FEMA administrator Deanne Criswell. “Visit Ready.gov and Listo.gov to learn and take the steps to prepare yourself and others in your household. Download the FEMA app to sign-up for a variety of alerts and to access preparedness information. Purchase flood insurance to protect your greatest asset, your home. And, please encourage your neighbors, friends and coworkers to also get ready for the upcoming season.”

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